AR-Sen: Blanche Lincoln more vulnerable than expected

From PPP via Taegan:

“45% of voters support the job she’s doing while 40% say they disapprove of her work. Hurting Lincoln’s numbers are poor marks from independents, only 31% of whom say they approve of her performance while 50% rate her negatively. 73% of Democrats but only 22% of Republicans express approval.”

Lincoln (D) 48

Baker (R) 37

Lincoln (D) 46

Griffin (R) 38

http://www.publicpolicypolling…

I wonder if the hard right turn in Arkansas as evidenced by the surge to McCain last November is something more permanent. After holding out for so long is it finally catching up to the rest of the South?

82 thoughts on “AR-Sen: Blanche Lincoln more vulnerable than expected”

  1. nope, sorry that’s not what november was. November was the result of Obama not bothering to campaign or target the state a single time in the campaign, not even during the primary. When your opponent has the state to himself it tends to hurt you. Arkansas is a very Democratic state, Obama was just a terrible match for it and didn’t try to win it.

    They’re polling the strongest likely Candidate, well known State Senator Gilbert Baker who represents a swingy, (for Arkansas state Democrats), district around Conway. Baker has been minority leader of the State Senate and State Chairman of the Republican Party. Of course he would pretty well known, but he also has had some rough scandals that will hurt him when his poll nubmers become available. Lincoln’s performance right now is pretty good.

    I’ll give you a little secret though, Lincoln’s never been as well liked as Pryor, but she’s go incumbency and a powerful position on the Finance committee, plus she’s a strong campaigner and fundraiser. I have no worries about her, neither of those candidates will be able to compete with her. The only candidates who could possibly do so are Huckabee who isn’t running and Asa Hutchinson who also isn’t running.

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